The Toughest Decision Every NBA Team Must Make This Offseason:太平洋赛区由JabariIverson 发表在翻译团招工部 https://bbs.hupu.com/fyt-store
The fishing waters around the basketball world are getting crowded, as more NBA teams officially enter the 2020 offseason.
Soon, executives will be making the kinds of tough calls that will shape their franchise's futures for better or worse.
From coaching changes to contract extensions, draft picks to potential deals, we're breaking down the toughest offseason decision awaiting all 30 teams.
Golden State Warriors: Investing No. 2 Pick
Trading the No. 2 pick is very much on the table for Golden State. President of basketball operations Bob Myers has said as much, and the logic is easy to follow. If (hopefully) healthy versions of Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson transform this team back into a title contender, it needs more of a win-now impact than most rookies can provide.
But this makes a few assumptions—the first being that Curry, now 32, and Thompson, 30 and coming back from a torn ACL, can anchor a contender with Draymond Green, who had a statistically disastrous season. It's certainly possible—the core made five Finals and won three titles between 2015 and 2019—but the Warriors need to be reasonably confident that's the case before sacrificing an asset this valuable.
The other is that the trade market will bear something valuable enough to justify parting with the pick. The reputation of this draft class isn't great, and the fact a clear-cut No. 1 prospect hasn't emerged yet proves there's no Zion Williamson or even Ja Morant in this talent grab. There also aren't many household names who are definitely available, especially if the Washington Wizards aren't interested in moving Bradley Beal.
The talk of the Dubs doing some type of deal at No. 2 makes sense in theory, but in practice, the stars may not align to get anything done.
"I believe the Warriors should trade the pick if they can add a contributor who substantially increases their championship odds or is more certain to fit than the player they draft. But I also think finding that trade is a lot harder than it sounds," ESPN's Kevin Pelton wrote.
Los Angeles Clippers: Montrezl Harrell's Free Agency
Theoretically, the Clippers have two relatively equal decisions to make this offseason as both Montrezl Harrell and Marcus Morris Sr. are bound for unrestricted free agency. But L.A. moved a first-round pick to land Morris in February, and one can assume that sacrifice wasn't made for just a partial-season rental.
Morris is a well-established commodity at this point. He defends multiple positions, makes a decent amount of his long-range looks (career 36.7 percent) and offers some secondary oomph on offense. He should be a helpful piece for any contender to have, and the Clippers should be ready to pay him anything within reason.
Remember, Kawhi Leonard and Paul George can enter 2021 free agency, so this is not the time for the franchise to pinch pennies.
So, why doesn't that make Harrell another no-brainer? Because his reserve role makes it hard to gauge his impact. He has been a devastating chance-of-pace option for the Clippers, but how valuable is that for a team with championship aspirations? He's not a great shooter, distributor, rim protector or rebounder. L.A. basically fared the same with (plus-6.5 points per 100 possessions) and without him (plus-6.1) this season.
The Clippers will want him back, but if he's confined to this sixth-man role, they probably won't break the budget to do it. What happens, then, if an outside suitor will? They already have at least $109 million on next season's books, so replacing him would be a challenge. But if a team like the Charlotte Hornets is prepared to pay him like a star, L.A.'s best move will be walking away.
Los Angeles Lakers: Kyle Kuzma's Future
The Lakers unloaded almost their entire asset collection in last summer's Anthony Davis blockbuster, but Kyle Kuzma was the lone prospect to stay draped in Purple and Gold. The 25-year-old forward has led an awkward existence since, struggling to find his fit on such a dramatically reshaped roster.
He packs a mean scoring punch when he's rolling (27 games with 25-plus points the past three seasons), but it's tough to say how that equips him to play a supporting role alongside superstars like Davis and LeBron James. Kuzma isn't a knockdown shooter by any stretch (31.6 percent from deep, and that was an improvement from last season), and while his defense is improving, he's not a star-stopper by any stretch.
Can the Lakers mold him into the right complementary fit for now and have him around to help withstand the loss of James whenever he walks away? Or is Kuzma most valuable as a trade chip since the Lakers' shelves are otherwise empty?
It all depends on the market's assessment of Kuzma, which may not match how casual fans feel. He probably isn't bringing back an established star on his own, but maybe an ace role player or two who offers a cleaner fit with James and Davis would make it worthwhile for L.A.
Phoenix Suns: Cap Space or Continuity?
While the Suns' playoff drought reached a full decade this season, its days should finally be numbered.
Their .466 winning percentage was their highest since 2014-15, and it featured an 8-0 sprint to the finish line in Florida. Devin Booker rose to the All-Star ranks, Deandre Ayton took a sizable step forward at both ends, and the Suns squeezed a ton of life out of the small-ball style they adopted in the bubble.
Another round of gradual improvements could theoretically help Phoenix close its postseason gap, which is the crux of the argument for running it back in free agency. Between Dario Saric (restricted) and Aron Baynes, the Suns have two critical frontcourt pieces ticketed for the open market.
Letting them walk, though, might open a path to raising the ceiling more dramatically. They could be holding around $17 million in cap space if they let their free agents go, and that could get them in the ballpark for Danilo Gallinari or Paul Millsap. If Phoenix wants to aim even higher (maybe for Fred VanVleet), it could take the bold step of dealing Ricky Rubio for increased flexibility.
Sacramento Kings: What's the Walk-Away Point for Bogdan Bogdanovic?
A consistent theme has emerged from Sacramento all season. The Kings want to keep Bogdan Bogdanovic, and they'll pay what it takes to keep him.
"Bogdanovic will be the top priority," The Athletic's Jason Jones reported in April. "The Kings intend to match any offer sheet from another team, should Bogdanovic sign one."
This seems straightforward and mostly sensible given how different the Kings fared before (15-29 with a minus-3.5 net rating) and after (16-12, plus-0.6) promoting Bogdanovic to the starting lineup. Saying that, it's important to remember we're talking about a 28-year-old non-star. While versatility is his biggest selling point, he doesn't have a go-to elite skill.
As much as the Kings want to keep him, there's surely a point at which he'd climb out of their price range. So, what is that number, and what are the chances anyone might actually approach it? Restricted free agency can be a thorny process, and it doesn't always play out as expected.
The fishing waters around the basketball world are getting crowded, as more NBA teams officially enter the 2020 offseason.
Soon, executives will be making the kinds of tough calls that will shape their franchise's futures for better or worse.
From coaching changes to contract extensions, draft picks to potential deals, we're breaking down the toughest offseason decision awaiting all 30 teams.
Golden State Warriors: Investing No. 2 Pick
Trading the No. 2 pick is very much on the table for Golden State. President of basketball operations Bob Myers has said as much, and the logic is easy to follow. If (hopefully) healthy versions of Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson transform this team back into a title contender, it needs more of a win-now impact than most rookies can provide.
But this makes a few assumptions—the first being that Curry, now 32, and Thompson, 30 and coming back from a torn ACL, can anchor a contender with Draymond Green, who had a statistically disastrous season. It's certainly possible—the core made five Finals and won three titles between 2015 and 2019—but the Warriors need to be reasonably confident that's the case before sacrificing an asset this valuable.
The other is that the trade market will bear something valuable enough to justify parting with the pick. The reputation of this draft class isn't great, and the fact a clear-cut No. 1 prospect hasn't emerged yet proves there's no Zion Williamson or even Ja Morant in this talent grab. There also aren't many household names who are definitely available, especially if the Washington Wizards aren't interested in moving Bradley Beal.
The talk of the Dubs doing some type of deal at No. 2 makes sense in theory, but in practice, the stars may not align to get anything done.
"I believe the Warriors should trade the pick if they can add a contributor who substantially increases their championship odds or is more certain to fit than the player they draft. But I also think finding that trade is a lot harder than it sounds," ESPN's Kevin Pelton wrote.
Los Angeles Clippers: Montrezl Harrell's Free Agency
Theoretically, the Clippers have two relatively equal decisions to make this offseason as both Montrezl Harrell and Marcus Morris Sr. are bound for unrestricted free agency. But L.A. moved a first-round pick to land Morris in February, and one can assume that sacrifice wasn't made for just a partial-season rental.
Morris is a well-established commodity at this point. He defends multiple positions, makes a decent amount of his long-range looks (career 36.7 percent) and offers some secondary oomph on offense. He should be a helpful piece for any contender to have, and the Clippers should be ready to pay him anything within reason.
Remember, Kawhi Leonard and Paul George can enter 2021 free agency, so this is not the time for the franchise to pinch pennies.
So, why doesn't that make Harrell another no-brainer? Because his reserve role makes it hard to gauge his impact. He has been a devastating chance-of-pace option for the Clippers, but how valuable is that for a team with championship aspirations? He's not a great shooter, distributor, rim protector or rebounder. L.A. basically fared the same with (plus-6.5 points per 100 possessions) and without him (plus-6.1) this season.
The Clippers will want him back, but if he's confined to this sixth-man role, they probably won't break the budget to do it. What happens, then, if an outside suitor will? They already have at least $109 million on next season's books, so replacing him would be a challenge. But if a team like the Charlotte Hornets is prepared to pay him like a star, L.A.'s best move will be walking away.
Los Angeles Lakers: Kyle Kuzma's Future
The Lakers unloaded almost their entire asset collection in last summer's Anthony Davis blockbuster, but Kyle Kuzma was the lone prospect to stay draped in Purple and Gold. The 25-year-old forward has led an awkward existence since, struggling to find his fit on such a dramatically reshaped roster.
He packs a mean scoring punch when he's rolling (27 games with 25-plus points the past three seasons), but it's tough to say how that equips him to play a supporting role alongside superstars like Davis and LeBron James. Kuzma isn't a knockdown shooter by any stretch (31.6 percent from deep, and that was an improvement from last season), and while his defense is improving, he's not a star-stopper by any stretch.
Can the Lakers mold him into the right complementary fit for now and have him around to help withstand the loss of James whenever he walks away? Or is Kuzma most valuable as a trade chip since the Lakers' shelves are otherwise empty?
It all depends on the market's assessment of Kuzma, which may not match how casual fans feel. He probably isn't bringing back an established star on his own, but maybe an ace role player or two who offers a cleaner fit with James and Davis would make it worthwhile for L.A.
Phoenix Suns: Cap Space or Continuity?
While the Suns' playoff drought reached a full decade this season, its days should finally be numbered.
Their .466 winning percentage was their highest since 2014-15, and it featured an 8-0 sprint to the finish line in Florida. Devin Booker rose to the All-Star ranks, Deandre Ayton took a sizable step forward at both ends, and the Suns squeezed a ton of life out of the small-ball style they adopted in the bubble.
Another round of gradual improvements could theoretically help Phoenix close its postseason gap, which is the crux of the argument for running it back in free agency. Between Dario Saric (restricted) and Aron Baynes, the Suns have two critical frontcourt pieces ticketed for the open market.
Letting them walk, though, might open a path to raising the ceiling more dramatically. They could be holding around $17 million in cap space if they let their free agents go, and that could get them in the ballpark for Danilo Gallinari or Paul Millsap. If Phoenix wants to aim even higher (maybe for Fred VanVleet), it could take the bold step of dealing Ricky Rubio for increased flexibility.
Sacramento Kings: What's the Walk-Away Point for Bogdan Bogdanovic?
A consistent theme has emerged from Sacramento all season. The Kings want to keep Bogdan Bogdanovic, and they'll pay what it takes to keep him.
"Bogdanovic will be the top priority," The Athletic's Jason Jones reported in April. "The Kings intend to match any offer sheet from another team, should Bogdanovic sign one."
This seems straightforward and mostly sensible given how different the Kings fared before (15-29 with a minus-3.5 net rating) and after (16-12, plus-0.6) promoting Bogdanovic to the starting lineup. Saying that, it's important to remember we're talking about a 28-year-old non-star. While versatility is his biggest selling point, he doesn't have a go-to elite skill.
As much as the Kings want to keep him, there's surely a point at which he'd climb out of their price range. So, what is that number, and what are the chances anyone might actually approach it? Restricted free agency can be a thorny process, and it doesn't always play out as expected.
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